InwySeleneLab · Europa · paper · minute by minute
Liquidity rewards: two-sided quotes beside the mid in the biggest reward pools, minute by minute.
$506.26
+1.3%+$6.26on the $500 start
Where it comes from
| Market | Pool / day | Earned today |
|---|---|---|
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 27, 2026? | $142 | $2.23 |
| Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026? | $105 | $1.73 |
| Will Z.ai be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? | $117 | $2.16 |
| Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? | $105 | $0.98 |
| Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of November 2026? | $187 | $0.54 |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%? | $272 | $1.28 |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%? | $326 | $0.14 |
| Market | Holding | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? mid 24.4¢ · 1 fills · ends 1 Nov, 04:59 | −$1.52 | |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 27, 2026? mid 35.3¢ · 2 fills · ends 28 Oct, 04:59 | +$0.80 | |
| Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026? mid 79.7¢ · 2 fills · ends 23 Oct, 18:00 | −$2.63 | |
| Will Z.ai be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? mid 34.0¢ · 1 fills · ends 1 Nov, 04:59 | −$2.20 |
Fast · something broken right now · hours
Drawdown from peak −0%
$506 vs peak $506
Recorder minutes 148
per-minute books from pm-recorder
Slow · is the edge still there · days to weeks
Hold when drawdown, picked off or edge score turns red, or any 2 reds. Send /hold or /resume to the Telegram bot. A single amber is normal noise; slow-lane verdicts need ~200 resolved bets.
Paper money: Polymarket's reward formula replayed on the per-minute books of the public recorder (pm-recorder). Others' scores are counted on the whole book, so Europa's share is a lower bound. Times are Paris time.