InwySelenePolymarket lab · paper · a tide an hour
$501.72
+0.3%+$1.72Luna, on its $500 start
Every wallet from $500 at the lab's start
Lab day 1
of 46 · verdict 6 Dec · lunation 1, new moon 6 Nov
Earth’s Moon, and Selene’s own name: the original bot.
The Jakarta bot: sells long-shot Yes at the touch, fast markets first, recurring skipped.
WhyJakarta Update (§31), judged at ~100 settled bets. The audit (§35.1) found no edge at the touch in history or live.
Open Luna's dashboard →The Titans were the old gods of time: the slow, patient moon.
Slow narrative markets: politics, culture, tech, economy; 7–45 days; held to resolution.
WhyHistory (§35.1): +1.0 / +1.0 / +3.1 / +2.1% per bet in four periods, Yes 0.78–0.93× implied.
Open Titan's dashboard →Paper money on live Polymarket data, recorded hourly by pm-recorder; fills simulated from real trades behind the queue. Makers pay no fees; rebates ignored. Times are Paris time.
The shape-shifting old man of the sea, caught only when he surfaces: sells into spikes.
Deep asks: sells Yes only at twice the best ask, filled when buyers sweep the book.
WhyHistory (§35.1): better than the touch in 4 of 5 periods for narrative markets; not robust. A candidate.
The god whose crowds fall into panic: the launch rush of brand-new markets.
Young markets: their first 48 hours, when the launch crowd buys. From Nov 2, all Protocol V2.
WhyHistory (§22): young markets beat older ones in 3 of 4 periods (failed one). A candidate.
Open Pan's dashboard →A liquid ocean under its ice: liquidity under the surface, paid for.
Liquidity rewards: two-sided quotes beside the mid in the biggest reward pools, minute by minute.
WhyPolymarket's reward formula (docs), replayed on the recorder's per-minute books; our share is a lower bound.
Open Europa's dashboard →