BTC 1x perp
since 2026-10-01
$481.40−3.7%+2.6% today
- Cash out now
- $481.18
- Stop
- $250.00 · 48% away
- Backtest
- +35%/yr, worst −60%, stopped 5% (2018–26, cash parking)
The reference rule, as backtested.
InwySeleneTrend + HLP · 4 of 4 books live
updated 5 h agoEach book starts at $500: long its coin while the daily close is above the 50-day average, otherwise parked in HLP. A book is over for good at half its start.
If we closed every book now
$1,838.52
−$161.48 (−8.1%) on $2,000.00 started (4 books)
Coin legs closed at the taker fee; HLP is free to leave, and nothing is locked right now.
Floor
$1,000.00
every book stopped at 50%
Now
$1,838.52
grey tick = $2,000.00 start
Upside
open-ended
no cap on trend gains
Today
+$24.44
all books, last 24 hours
Locked in by past switches
−$125.86
equity at each book's last switch vs start
Open legs
−$35.07
moves since the last switch, not locked in yet
Books
4 / 4 live
$1,839.07 marked · $2,000.00 started
Experiment clock
Day 20
since 2 Oct, 14:49
11 days to the first month64%
P&L per day
−$8.42
−$0.35 an hour · −$58.96 a week
Growth per day
−0.44%
≈ −79.9% a year compounded
Day 30 at this pace
$1,747.30
−12.6% on the $2,000.00 start
Switches
4
~1 a week across 4 books
Leader
−3.5%
BTC 1x spot · last: SOL 1x −14.9%
Where the money sits
2 long · 2 HLP
$964.06 in coins · $875.01 in HLP
Straight lines from 19.2 days of data, using the “close every book now” value. Trend pays in rare big moves, so early days say little. For fun, not a forecast.
+1.7% vs average
−4.0% vs average
−2.7% vs average
since 2026-10-01
The reference rule, as backtested.
since 2026-10-01
| When | Book | Move | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|
| SOL 1x 13 Oct, 02:17 | LONG → HLP | $424.87 | |
| ETH 1x 9 Oct, 02:17 | LONG → HLP | $449.27 | |
| ETH 1x 2 Oct, 14:49 | CASH → LONG | $499.78 | |
| SOL 1x 2 Oct, 14:49 | CASH → LONG | $499.78 |
Paper money, live Hyperliquid prices and funding. Backtests are history, not promises. Record of every decision: bot/trend/journal/ in the repo. Times are Paris time.
Same as perp without funding; adds Unit-bridge risk.
since 2026-10-01
Same rule on ETH.
since 2026-10-01
More volatile coin.
since 2026-10-02
Average of the BTC, ETH and SOL 1x books (computed here, not a separate book).